| Almost all present energy systems
are centralised and in the control of big corporations and big governments.
The future of energy production will probably involve local community
and individual household generation, that is distributed energy systems.
This is not an either/or situation. Systems will be range from very large
central distribution to very local systems for personal use and efficiency.
That is, ranging from a
big power station to draught-excluding your front door.
Energy is is involved in all human activity and production at every level
and at every stage. It is essential not to miss this and think on terms
of single issue fixes.
A very major part of future energy concerns will be conservation.
What you conserve, you
do not have to generate.
There are further background documents listed in the sustainable
futures briefing documents.
basic
facts of long distance electricity transmission
“The most cost-effective way to generate large amounts of electricity
is with a rotating synchronous generator, which naturally produces alternating
current. ” [Quoted from http://www.transpower.co.nz
- page unavailable]
—
On high-voltage direct current transmission [HVDC]:
“While it is expensive to convert normal AC power to DC power
and back again, the savings in power losses and in construction costs
can make HVDC cost-effective if moving more than 500 MW further than
about 500 km over a point-to-point link.”[Quoted from transpower.co.nz]
HVDC electrical losses are about five percent per thousand
miles.
“There are striking parallels between the renewable energy industry
today and the personal computing industry circa 1980. Much of the basic
technology required for personal computing was already in place and
was on the verge of becoming economical for mass production. The personal
computer hardware and software industry was characterized at that time
by small, under-capitalized firms that catered to a hobbyist market
(known today as "early adopters," in industry parlance). The
software and hardware of that time was more complicated to install and
use (early computers were generally useless except to programmers).”
on economic barriers
to replacing fossil fuels
Commentary: the
fossil fuel producers will do whatever possible to stop alternate energy
becoming a serious competitor. Currently oil is very cheap to produce,
despite the horrific levels of pollution pumped into the air and the rapid
depletion of a vital resource. Only by heavily increasing taxes on these
externalised costs can fossil fuels be made less attractive. This will
of course be resisted by corporations and the Middle East dictators. This
would still be insufficient if some countries are allowed to go on exporting
their pollution filth.
It
is cheap oil that is at the core of enabling the major wars for the
last century to be fought. If Western societies forgo cheap oil, then
is highly likely that others will see oil as a means for conquest. Such
is the tragedy
of the commons represented by cheap fossil
fuels, especially pumpable oil.
It is not sufficient, as the writer in the above-linked
article appears to believe, that merely making alternative energy competitive
on price with current fossil fuel prices would work much to replace the
oil. The oil interests would merely drop the price below current alternatives.
local
approaches to energy independence
moving
to sustainable local energy generation
“Technological improvements have made solar-electric modules
more cost-effective. In the 1980s the average price of energy captured
with photovoltaics was 95 U.S. cents per kilowatt-hour. Today that price
has dropped to around 20 cents per kilowatt-hour, according to Collins,
of the American Solar Energy Society.”

In developed countries, solar-generated electricity is four times more
expensive than ‘brown’ electricity made with coal and gas,
with the solar panels having a 20-30 year lifespan. [2006]
“In the last two decades solar-thermal panels (units used to
warm household hot water, pools, and spas) have become highly efficient.
Energy costs have decreased from 60 cents to 8 cents per kilowatt-hour
since the 1980s, Collins said.”
- wind generation
“Compared to other renewable energy sources, wind power competes
with conventional energy at a price less than 4 cents per kilowatt-hour,
Collins said. ”
- ground heat pumps
“Ground-source heat pumps, also called geo-exchange systems,
use this relatively constant temperature to keep homes at comfortable
temperatures.”
Some systems are using underground water tanks,
designed to heat up during the suimmer and release heat for household
use during the winter.
While the claims of this linked article are almost
certainly accurate, and you should read the article and beware, encouraging
a free market in local energy is positive and should gradually serve to
make people more educated on the subject.
There’s nothing like paying for a device without
first investigating the hidden details to make people more alert and cautious
next time around, if it does not meet its claims.
Obviously, no government grant should be attracted
by idiotic purchases, but of course it is old.new.old Labour government
we have in the UK.
“Windsave, which makes the turbine that will be sold by B&Q
and will be selling directly via the internet from August, says its
1.75 metre turbine produces 1,000-2,000 kilowatt hours of electricity
a year. Renewable Devices says its Swift 2 metre turbine produces between
2,000 and 3,000 kwH of energy a year, and could save the householder
up to £300 a year, including the value of green energy generation
certificates.
“But Archibald says that low wind speeds in urban areas mean
that most installations will never come near that. 'In better locations
we'd expect wind speeds of six metres per second, but in urban areas,
with lots of other buildings around, you're probably looking at four
[metres per second], and that will affect performance considerably.'
“Nick Martin of the Hockerton Housing Project, a sustainable
development in Nottinghamshire, is a construction expert who has monitored
performance of much larger, pole-mounted turbines and investigated the
claims of the rooftop turbine makers. He says that Swift and Windsave's
performance claims 'defy the law of physics' and that they will produce
much nearer to 10 per cent of the average household's energy needs.”
I am presently [late June 2006] investigating heat
exchangers (the air type - there are also earth/buried units that are
probably better to be built in during construction) which are claimed
to provide approximately an extra third of heat relative to electricity
usage. They are also said to be rather noisy. These heat exchangers will
also cool you in summer, so you might end up paying bigger electricity
bills over the whole year!
[See also Jevons’
paradox.]
Note that electricity energy substitution is
in direct competition with large power stations, and that those power
stations are very profitable. Methods used in the USA include making it
profitable for power generation companies to help users to conserve power.
This is particularly useful if a whole power station can be avoided by
keeping the ‘demand’ under control. |